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NIESR says income tax rise would be the least damaging option for Reeves

todayOctober 10, 2025 4

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An analysis by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) assessed the economic effects of raising income tax, corporation tax and value added tax (VAT). It found VAT would have the largest negative impact, reducing real personal disposable income (RPDI) by around 3% and real GDP by about 1% in the first year the tax is applied. A higher VAT rate would also push up inflation through higher shop prices. The scenarios assume the Government aims to raise net revenue of £30 billion (€35.1 billion) by 2029-30 to address a projected shortfall in public finances.

Raising corporation tax would have a smaller short-term effect but could hinder investment and long-term growth by reducing business investment. By contrast, hiking income tax would have the smallest effect, with GDP expected to fall by about 0.05% in the first year.

NIESR said the

This article was written with AI assistance and reviewed by a human editor before publication.

Written by: TKONews

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